Storm movement expected to move ENE.
Strong cap in the upper atmosphere but storms are still expected to develop around 3 or after.
Latest models showing severe weather in the NW part of Kansas with another area further south.
Any storms that do develop will most likely become severe.
Up to baseball sized hail possible, strong winds over 60 mph.
NWS: Tornado threat not as high due to low level shear not as favorable.
Meteorologists now fielding questions.
Bill in Ellis County, Kansas: What will occur along I-70?
Hovorka: Storms possible around 7-8pm in that area.
Gray county EM: Will graduations be affected?
Hovorka: A few storms are possible.
Pratt/Barber County: When will storms occur?
Hovorka: After 7pm or so.
Kiowa county. What about our area?
Hovorka: Around 5-6pm in that area....
At this time, no other questions are being asked by emergency management or media. Conference call is concluding.
Next LIVE blog will be during Wichita NWS media conference at 1:00 PM CT.
New Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook expected with 15 minutes.
Dodge City NWS: Lack of low level shear may limit the significant threat of tornadoes today and tonight. Although, isolated tornadoes are possible. Threat of large hail up to baseball size will be common.
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Moderate Risk issued again in latest convective outlook. Map and images to follow.
SPC: A window of opportunity will exist this evening n the Plains for increasing tornadic potential including the risk for one or two strong tornadoes. Potential appears to hinge largely on how long it takes for convection to grow upscale into organizing mesoscale convective systems.
Sunday severe weather outlook due to be released in about 50 minutes.
Kansas City NWS has scheduled a tentative media conference for 11:00 AM Sunday. If conference is held, we will blog it LIVE here!
Meteorologist Kevin Darmofal from the National Weather Service in Wichita is expected to explain the scenario for potential severe weather late tonight and Sunday. Media conference starts in about 15 minutes.
Media conference at NWS in Wichita is about to begin.
Meteorologist Kevin Darmofal welcomes attendees.
Supercells will develop in Western Kansas and move east, not as confident that storms will reach the KS Turnpike.
Heightened risk of severe weather moving into Central Kansas this evening with potential for tornadoes after dark this evening.
Storms will move into S Central and Central Kansas late tonight and overnight.
Tornado threat will continue overnight.
Instability in Western Kansas now 4000-5000 j/pkg
Storms developing across western Kansas around 7PM and by 10PM could be just SW of Wichita.
Through the night, storms cross the turnpike and move into the Flinthills of Kansas.
Models show that storms will persist after midnight -- longer than expected originally.
Tornado threat has increased further east into South Central Kansas.
NWS: We are a little bit concerned about potential for tornadoes.
NWS: Regarding Sunday, outlooks is the same. SE KS to Central Oklahoma potential long-track tornadoes tomorrow.
Now opening for questions: